Labour’s unlikely strategy for beating Farage
And what it reveals about Reform's greatest weakness.
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Polling
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Polling
Who will win the Hamilton by-election?
It is unlikely, but not impossible, that Reform could pull off a massive upset in Scotland.
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Non-voters are Nigel Farage’s secret weapon
The “hang the paedos, fund the NHS” constituency is not moving left.
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How the weather changed on the “cruel” two-child benefit cap
Labour’s manifesto promises on child poverty are catching up with Keir Starmer.
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Labour has put the EU back on the agenda. Will the party regret it?
The issue is low on the agenda for almost all British voters. But the reset could still be a political…
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What’s holding Reform back?
It’s probably not what you think.
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Reform’s locals victory was no fluke
To write up the election as a warped presentation of public opinion is more reach than reasoned analysis.
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Will it be Reform’s night?
Our final forecast projects that Nigel Farage’s party will gain more than 300 seats.
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